Adetunji Labiran1, Ekanem Ekanem2
1 Consultant (Public Health), Federal Ministry of Health, Abuja
2 Professor of Medical Statistics, College of Medicine, University of Lagos, Lagos
Abstract:
Theme: Maternal and Child Health – Achieving MDGs and sustaining them.
Background: The population of Nigeria is more than 140 million. The country is divided into 6 geographical zones. Three of these are in the north, while three are in the south. The southern half of the country has a higher health worker density and female literacy than the northern parts.
Objectives: To determine the health care attendant factors (Doctor Density and Female Illiteracy) which influence the under-5 mortality rate.
Methods:
Data on doctor density, female illiteracy, and under-5 mortality were obtained from the official 2007 Statistics of health workers, and the 2006 Nigerian Demographic and Health Survey (NDHS).
Ecological analysis relating doctor density and female illiteracy to an outcome, under-5 mortality rate was done.
Results:
- Under-5 Mortality rate is negatively related (r= -0.91, p <0.001) to health worker density.
- Statistically significant positive relationship between female illiteracy and under-5 Mortality (r= 0.75, p <0.02) exists.
- A 2% decrease in female literacy in the Southeastern zone translated into 50 units increase in under-5 mortality rate denominated per 100,000 live births
Health Policy Implication:
1 There is a need to increase health workers density and improve female literacy level nationwide, but especially in the Northern zones.
2. At the present rate of development, Nigeria is not going to achieve the MDG target by 2015, because none of the zones is on track to achieve the MDGs. Indeed there is a rapid worsening of Under-5 Mortality Rate in the Southeastern zone due to a marginal drop in female literacy.
Learning Objectives: 1. Recognize the importance of health worker density and female literacy in the reduction of under-5 mortality rate 2. Identify the critical role of reduction in female literacy in increase (worsening) of under-5 mortality rate 3. Construct the pathway and rate of achievement of MDGs in Nigeria, and 4. Identify the reversal in progress towards achievement of MDGs in Nigeria